Birmingham 3-0 Coventry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 13 Apr 2024

Birmingham
3-0 HT 2-0
Coventry
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Birmingham vs Coventry Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.93
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.93 — our 28% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.39
1/2
5%
24.45
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1 EV+ ✗
16%
6.61
X/2
9%
5.1
X/X
10%
4.9
2/1
5%
30.5
2/2
30%
3.04
2/X
7%
12.4
Value flag · X/1 at 6.61 — our 16% vs market 11.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.6pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+2.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.3pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Birmingham v Coventry — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Coventry EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
1.14/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.35
-12% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
262 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 72%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
19.4 Crosses 18.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8

Birmingham vs Coventry Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birmingham
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Coventry
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.17 xG 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
241 Passes 289
68% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.12.2023 Coventry Coventry 2-0 HT 1-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
29.04.2023 Coventry Coventry 2-0 HT 2-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
17.09.2022 Birmingham Birmingham 0-0 HT 0-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
15.04.2022 Birmingham Birmingham 2-4 HT 2-2 Coventry Coventry İNCL
23.11.2021 Coventry Coventry 0-0 HT 0-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
30.01.2021 Birmingham Birmingham 1-1 HT 1-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL

Birmingham 3-0 Coventry — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birmingham
3-0
AWAY Coventry
1.37 xG 0.58
29% Ball Possession 71%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
196 Passes 572
75% Pass Accuracy 88%
28 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Birmingham vs Coventry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham cruised past Coventry 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Coventry at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Birmingham had 29% of the ball to Coventry's 71%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.37 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coventry led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Birmingham and 1.50 for Coventry.

What was the final score of Birmingham vs Coventry?

Birmingham 3-0 Coventry in the England - Championship on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham vs Coventry?

Before kick-off our model rated an Coventry win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Birmingham 32%, draw 23%, Coventry 44%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Coventry) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Coventry) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNCL More England - Championship
13 Apr 2024
14:30 Leeds United vs Blackburn Rovers Analysis →
17:00 Ipswich Town vs Middlesbrough Analysis →
17:00 Millwall vs Cardiff City Analysis →
17:00 Swansea City vs Rotherham United Analysis →
17:00 Preston North End vs Norwich City Analysis →
17:00 West Bromwich vs Sunderland Analysis →