Swansea City 1-0 Rotherham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 13 Apr 2024

Swansea City
1-0 HT 0-0
Rotherham United
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Swansea City vs Rotherham United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.37
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.15
Over 2.5
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.14
2-3 Goals
36%
1.86
4-5 Goals
29%
3.04
6+ Goals
14%
9.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1.71
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
18.55
X/1
13%
3.53
X/2
5%
14.85
X/X
8%
6.08
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
6%
12.2
2/X
5%
19.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
69%
-4.2pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.3pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+3.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
43%
-2.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
57%
+2.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.0pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Swansea City v Rotherham United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swansea City EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Rotherham United EU Bookmakers 15%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
1.62/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.03
-20% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -17%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
478 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 72%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
16.4 Crosses 15.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Swansea City vs Rotherham United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swansea City
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Rotherham United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.33 xG 1.01
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
408 Passes 163
79% Pass Accuracy 62%
21 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.12.2023 Rotherham United Rotherham United 1-2 HT 0-1 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
27.02.2023 Swansea City Swansea City 1-1 HT 1-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İNCL
30.07.2022 Rotherham United Rotherham United 1-1 HT 1-1 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
30.01.2021 Rotherham United Rotherham United 1-3 HT 0-2 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
21.11.2020 Swansea City Swansea City 1-0 HT 1-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İNCL
19.04.2019 Swansea City Swansea City 4-3 HT 1-2 Rotherham United Rotherham United İNCL

Swansea City 1-0 Rotherham United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swansea City
1-0
AWAY Rotherham United
1.10 xG 0.12
71% Ball Possession 29%
16 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 0
12 Corners 0
477 Passes 145
87% Pass Accuracy 61%
27 Box Touches 5
37 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Swansea City vs Rotherham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swansea City squeezed past Rotherham United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Swansea City as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Swansea City had 71% of the ball to Rotherham United's 29%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 1.10 to 0.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swansea City had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Swansea City and 1.17 for Rotherham United.

What was the final score of Swansea City vs Rotherham United?

Swansea City 1-0 Rotherham United in the England - Championship on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swansea City vs Rotherham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Swansea City 64%, draw 19%, Rotherham United 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swansea City), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Swansea City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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