Leeds United 0-1 Blackburn Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 13 Apr 2024

Leeds United
0-1 HT 0-0
Blackburn Rovers
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Leeds United vs Blackburn Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
23%
4.76
2-3 Goals
43%
1.92
4-5 Goals
22%
2.82
6+ Goals
12%
7.76
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.76 — our 23% vs market 16.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.6
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
19.85
X/1
18%
3.57
X/2
7%
16.35
X/X
9%
7.31
2/1
8%
21.45
2/2
5%
12.45
2/X
7%
20.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
69%
-7.9pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.9pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+3.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.4pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leeds United v Blackburn Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leeds United EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
2.12/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/2.09
-10% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +11%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
432 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 70%
35.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
20.7 Crosses 12.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6

Leeds United vs Blackburn Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leeds United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.64 xG 0.70
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
399 Passes 201
80% Pass Accuracy 62%
28 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.12.2023 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 0-2 HT 0-1 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
28.07.2021 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-1 Leeds United Leeds United HAZ
04.07.2020 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-3 HT 0-2 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
09.11.2019 Leeds United Leeds United 2-1 HT 2-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
26.12.2018 Leeds United Leeds United 3-2 HT 1-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
20.10.2018 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-1 HT 1-1 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL

Leeds United 0-1 Blackburn Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leeds United
0-1
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
1.42 xG 0.61
75% Ball Possession 25%
19 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 1
500 Passes 110
85% Pass Accuracy 53%
42 Box Touches 14
35 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Leeds United vs Blackburn Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackburn Rovers edged past Leeds United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Leeds United at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Leeds United had 75% of the ball to Blackburn Rovers's 25%, shots finished 19-3, expected goals 1.42 to 0.61 — the balance of chances actually favoured Leeds United.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leeds United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Leeds United and 1.17 for Blackburn Rovers.

What was the final score of Leeds United vs Blackburn Rovers?

Leeds United 0-1 Blackburn Rovers in the England - Championship on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leeds United vs Blackburn Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Leeds United 61%, draw 22%, Blackburn Rovers 17%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Leeds United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leeds United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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