Cultural Leonesa 3-2 Mirandes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
22%
3.98
6+ Goals
10%
18.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.98 — our 22% vs market 19.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.58
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
13%
4.39
X/2
8%
8.06
X/X
9%
4.39
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
26.5
2/2
16%
6.58
2/X
7%
15.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 7% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.1pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.4pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.8pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cultural Leonesa EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirandes EU Bookmakers 27%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
1.28/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.49
-12% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
380 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
16.8 Crosses 18.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cultural Leonesa
3-2
AWAY Mirandes
1.08 xG 0.76
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
389 Passes 251
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
32 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cultural Leonesa vs Mirandes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cultural Leonesa edged past Mirandes 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cultural Leonesa as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Cultural Leonesa had 59% of the ball to Mirandes's 41%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.08 to 0.76.

What was the final score of Cultural Leonesa vs Mirandes?

Cultural Leonesa 3-2 Mirandes in the Spain - 2nd Division on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cultural Leonesa vs Mirandes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cultural Leonesa win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cultural Leonesa 47%, draw 23%, Mirandes 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cultural Leonesa), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cultural Leonesa) ✓ BTTS Yes
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