Almeria vs Eibar Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Almeria v Eibar — Team-Based Signals
Almeria vs Eibar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Eibar
İS2
1-0
HT 1-0
Almeria
İS2
2-0
HT 1-0
Eibar
İS1
5-2
HT 3-1
Almeria
İS1
Almeria 3-1 Eibar — Actual Match Statistics
Almeria saw off Eibar 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Almeria as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Almeria had 42% of the ball to Eibar's 58%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.31 to 1.20.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eibar led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Almeria and 1.83 for Eibar.
What was the final score of Almeria vs Eibar?
Almeria 3-1 Eibar in the Spain - 2nd Division on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Almeria vs Eibar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Almeria win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Almeria 51%, draw 25%, Eibar 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almeria), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.