Casarano 1-3 SS Monopoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.9
6+ Goals
9%
18.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-2.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.8pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casarano EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY SS Monopoli EU Bookmakers 32%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +15%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.88
+130% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casarano
1-3
AWAY SS Monopoli
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Casarano vs SS Monopoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Monopoli got the better of Casarano 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day SS Monopoli made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Casarano had 48% of the ball to SS Monopoli's 52%, shots finished 10-10.

What was the final score of Casarano vs SS Monopoli?

Casarano 1-3 SS Monopoli in the Italy - Serie C on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casarano vs SS Monopoli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Casarano win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Casarano 40%, draw 29%, SS Monopoli 31%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Casarano), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Casarano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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