Audace Cerignola 2-4 Atalanta II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.47
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
11.05
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.16 — our 29% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
47%
+2.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.3pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
1.67/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.37
+28% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
329 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Audace Cerignola
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Atalanta II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
21.05.2025 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 2-2 HT 0-1 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
18.05.2025 Atalanta II Atalanta II 0-0 HT 0-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audace Cerignola
2-4
AWAY Atalanta II
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 15
10 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Audace Cerignola vs Atalanta II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta II beat Audace Cerignola 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Audace Cerignola at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Audace Cerignola had 45% of the ball to Atalanta II's 55%, shots finished 17-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Audace Cerignola and 1.00 for Atalanta II.

What was the final score of Audace Cerignola vs Atalanta II?

Audace Cerignola 2-4 Atalanta II in the Italy - Serie C on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Audace Cerignola vs Atalanta II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Audace Cerignola win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Audace Cerignola 50%, draw 26%, Atalanta II 25%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Audace Cerignola) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Audace Cerignola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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