Pergolettese vs Novara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pergolettese v Novara — Team-Based Signals
Pergolettese vs Novara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Pergolettese
İTC
1-2
HT 1-2
Pergolettese
İTC
1-0
HT 1-0
Novara
İTC
Pergolettese 2-2 Novara — Actual Match Statistics
Pergolettese and Novara shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Pergolettese had 58% of the ball to Novara's 42%, shots finished 15-14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Novara led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Pergolettese and 1.50 for Novara.
What was the final score of Pergolettese vs Novara?
Pergolettese 2-2 Novara in the Italy - Serie C on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pergolettese vs Novara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pergolettese win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pergolettese 39%, draw 25%, Novara 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.