Novara vs Pergolettese Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Novara v Pergolettese — Team-Based Signals
Novara vs Pergolettese Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Pergolettese
İTC
1-2
HT 1-2
Pergolettese
İTC
1-0
HT 1-0
Novara
İTC
0-0
HT 0-0
Pergolettese
İTC
2-0
HT 0-0
Novara
İTC
Novara 3-1 Pergolettese — Actual Match Statistics
Novara beat Pergolettese 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Novara as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Novara had 50% of the ball to Pergolettese's 50%, shots finished 10-14.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pergolettese led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Novara and 1.17 for Pergolettese.
What was the final score of Novara vs Pergolettese?
Novara 3-1 Pergolettese in the Italy - Serie C on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Novara vs Pergolettese?
Before kick-off our model rated a Novara win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Novara 45%, draw 28%, Pergolettese 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.