Triestina 1-1 Pro Vercelli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.61
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.51
6+ Goals
10%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triestina EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Vercelli EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -12%
1.49/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.41
+15% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
354 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triestina
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Pro Vercelli
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.01.2024 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 1-2 HT 1-1 Triestina Triestina İTC
16.09.2023 Triestina Triestina 2-0 HT 1-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
21.01.2023 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 2-1 HT 2-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
17.09.2022 Triestina Triestina 1-1 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
10.04.2022 Triestina Triestina 4-2 HT 1-1 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
05.12.2021 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 1-2 HT 0-1 Triestina Triestina İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Triestina
1-1
AWAY Pro Vercelli
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Triestina vs Pro Vercelli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triestina and Pro Vercelli shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Triestina at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Triestina had 58% of the ball to Pro Vercelli's 42%, shots finished 9-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Triestina had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Triestina and 1.17 for Pro Vercelli.

What was the final score of Triestina vs Pro Vercelli?

Triestina 1-1 Pro Vercelli in the Italy - Serie C on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triestina vs Pro Vercelli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Triestina win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Triestina 45%, draw 28%, Pro Vercelli 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Triestina), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Triestina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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