Sestri Levante 1-1 Vis Pesaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 5 Oct 2024

Sestri Levante
1-1
Vis Pesaro
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2024/2025

Sestri Levante vs Vis Pesaro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.51
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.72
6+ Goals
7%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.9pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.9pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sestri Levante v Vis Pesaro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sestri Levante EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 49%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -56% / -56%
0.93/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-13% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -50%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
275 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards –

Sestri Levante vs Vis Pesaro Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sestri Levante
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Vis Pesaro
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
17.12.2023 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 2-2 HT 1-1 Sestri Levante Sestri Levante İTC

Sestri Levante 1-1 Vis Pesaro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sestri Levante
1-1
AWAY Vis Pesaro
59% Ball Possession 41%
6 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Sestri Levante vs Vis Pesaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sestri Levante and Vis Pesaro couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Sestri Levante had 59% of the ball to Vis Pesaro's 41%, shots finished 6-13.

What was the final score of Sestri Levante vs Vis Pesaro?

Sestri Levante 1-1 Vis Pesaro in the Italy - Serie C on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sestri Levante vs Vis Pesaro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vis Pesaro win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sestri Levante 32%, draw 30%, Vis Pesaro 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vis Pesaro), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vis Pesaro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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