Milan II 0-1 Pianese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.38
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-8.0pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.4pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milan II EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Pianese EU Bookmakers 27%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.74
-31% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +66%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
317 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milan II
0-1
AWAY Pianese
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 24
0 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Milan II vs Pianese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pianese edged past Milan II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Milan II at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Milan II had 32% of the ball to Pianese's 68%, shots finished 6-24.

What was the final score of Milan II vs Pianese?

Milan II 0-1 Pianese in the Italy - Serie C on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milan II vs Pianese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milan II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Milan II 42%, draw 31%, Pianese 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Milan II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Milan II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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