Pergolettese vs Novara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pergolettese v Novara — Team-Based Signals
Pergolettese vs Novara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Pergolettese
İTC
1-2
HT 1-2
Pergolettese
İTC
1-0
HT 1-0
Novara
İTC
0-0
HT 0-0
Pergolettese
İTC
Pergolettese 1-2 Novara — Actual Match Statistics
Novara edged past Pergolettese 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Novara made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Pergolettese had 44% of the ball to Novara's 56%, shots finished 7-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pergolettese and 1.17 for Novara.
What was the final score of Pergolettese vs Novara?
Pergolettese 1-2 Novara in the Italy - Serie C on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pergolettese vs Novara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pergolettese win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Pergolettese 40%, draw 29%, Novara 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.