Alcione 0-1 Arzignano Valchiampo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.51
Over 2.5
48%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.14
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
26%
5.14
6+ Goals
7%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.1pp
24%
Draw
30%
-5.0pp
47%
Away Win
44%
+3.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
62%
-10.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
38%
+10.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.6pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcione EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.59/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.71
-45% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +41%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcione
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 0
05.10.2024 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 0-2 HT 0-1 Alcione İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcione
0-1
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alcione vs Arzignano Valchiampo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arzignano Valchiampo nicked a narrow win over Alcione 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arzignano Valchiampo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Alcione had 61% of the ball to Arzignano Valchiampo's 39%, shots finished 8-11.

What was the final score of Alcione vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Alcione 0-1 Arzignano Valchiampo in the Italy - Serie C on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcione vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arzignano Valchiampo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Alcione 29%, draw 24%, Arzignano Valchiampo 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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