Renate 1-0 Lecco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Feb 2025

Renate
1-0 HT 0-0
Lecco
📅15/02/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.19
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
4.96
6+ Goals
8%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.7pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.6pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.9pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renate EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecco EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -16%
0.98/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.35
-19% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renate
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Lecco
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.10.2024 Lecco Lecco 0-2 HT 0-1 Renate Renate İTC
03.04.2023 Renate Renate 0-2 HT 0-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
30.11.2022 Lecco Lecco 1-0 HT 1-0 Renate Renate İTC
27.02.2022 Renate Renate 2-3 HT 1-3 Lecco Lecco İTC
21.10.2021 Lecco Lecco 2-3 HT 1-1 Renate Renate İTC
03.03.2021 Lecco Lecco 2-1 HT 0-1 Renate Renate İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renate
1-0
AWAY Lecco
61% Ball Possession 39%
7 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Renate vs Lecco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renate squeezed past Lecco 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Renate as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Renate had 61% of the ball to Lecco's 39%, shots finished 7-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lecco led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Renate and 1.67 for Lecco.

What was the final score of Renate vs Lecco?

Renate 1-0 Lecco in the Italy - Serie C on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renate vs Lecco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Renate win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Renate 41%, draw 27%, Lecco 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Renate), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Renate) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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