Benevento 0-0 ACR Messina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.54
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.08
6+ Goals
10%
10.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.54 — our 33% vs market 21.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
65%
-9.1pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.0pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+7.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.0pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benevento EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY ACR Messina EU Bookmakers 17%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -7%
2.14/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.60
+23% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
388 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benevento
1W-4D-0L
AWAY ACR Messina
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 ACR Messina ACR Messina 0-0 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento İTC
10.03.2024 Benevento Benevento 1-1 HT 1-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
05.11.2023 ACR Messina ACR Messina 0-1 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento İTC
23.09.2015 Benevento Benevento 0-0 HT 0-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
12.12.2014 ACR Messina ACR Messina 1-1 HT 0-1 Benevento Benevento İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benevento
0-0
AWAY ACR Messina
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 6
0 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Benevento vs ACR Messina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benevento and ACR Messina fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Benevento carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Benevento had 61% of the ball to ACR Messina's 39%, shots finished 11-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Benevento had the better of it with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Benevento and 0.40 for ACR Messina.

What was the final score of Benevento vs ACR Messina?

Benevento 0-0 ACR Messina in the Italy - Serie C on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benevento vs ACR Messina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benevento win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Benevento 56%, draw 23%, ACR Messina 21%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Benevento) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benevento) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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