Pianese 1-0 Milan II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.55
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.1
6+ Goals
7%
20.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.55 — our 34% vs market 31.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.6pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+7.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.4pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pianese EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan II EU Bookmakers 29%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.98/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.79
-24% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +54%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pianese
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Milan II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
68% Ball Possession 32%
24 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 4
05.10.2024 Milan II Milan II 0-1 HT 0-0 Pianese Pianese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pianese
1-0
AWAY Milan II
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pianese vs Milan II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pianese edged past Milan II 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Pianese made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Pianese had 52% of the ball to Milan II's 48%, shots finished 7-5.

What was the final score of Pianese vs Milan II?

Pianese 1-0 Milan II in the Italy - Serie C on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pianese vs Milan II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pianese win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Pianese 40%, draw 26%, Milan II 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pianese), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pianese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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