ACR Messina 0-0 Benevento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.65
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
41%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.12
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.75
6+ Goals
10%
15.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 30% vs market 26.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
19%
+11.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
41%
Away Win
55%
-14.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ACR Messina EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Benevento EU Bookmakers 59%
+9% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.15/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.68
+20% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +28%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
239 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ACR Messina
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Benevento
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
10.03.2024 Benevento Benevento 1-1 HT 1-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
05.11.2023 ACR Messina ACR Messina 0-1 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento İTC
23.09.2015 Benevento Benevento 0-0 HT 0-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
12.12.2014 ACR Messina ACR Messina 1-1 HT 0-1 Benevento Benevento İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ACR Messina
0-0
AWAY Benevento
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ACR Messina vs Benevento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ACR Messina and Benevento played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Benevento at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, ACR Messina had 50% of the ball to Benevento's 50%, shots finished 14-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Benevento led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for ACR Messina and 0.75 for Benevento.

What was the final score of ACR Messina vs Benevento?

ACR Messina 0-0 Benevento in the Italy - Serie C on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ACR Messina vs Benevento?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benevento win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split ACR Messina 30%, draw 29%, Benevento 41%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Benevento) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benevento) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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