Padova Calcio 1-0 Vicenza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.18
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
5.74
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.0pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.0pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Vicenza EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.81/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.94
-34% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
260 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Padova Calcio
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Vicenza
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.05.2024 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 0-1 HT 0-1 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
22.05.2024 Vicenza Vicenza 2-0 HT 1-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
06.03.2024 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 1-1 HT 0-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
29.10.2023 Vicenza Vicenza 1-1 HT 1-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
08.01.2023 Vicenza Vicenza 1-1 HT 0-1 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
10.09.2022 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-1 HT 1-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Padova Calcio
1-0
AWAY Vicenza
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Padova Calcio vs Vicenza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Padova Calcio nicked a narrow win over Vicenza 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 33% / 29%) promised a tight game; Padova Calcio found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Padova Calcio had 40% of the ball to Vicenza's 60%, shots finished 6-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vicenza led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Padova Calcio and 1.17 for Vicenza.

What was the final score of Padova Calcio vs Vicenza?

Padova Calcio 1-0 Vicenza in the Italy - Serie C on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Padova Calcio vs Vicenza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Padova Calcio 38%, draw 33%, Vicenza 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Padova Calcio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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