US Latina 0-1 SSC Giugliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.91
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.01
6+ Goals
10%
18.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.5pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.0pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.8pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Latina EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY SSC Giugliano EU Bookmakers 39%
+8% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.11/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.17
-5% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
266 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME US Latina
2W-2D-1L
AWAY SSC Giugliano
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.02.2024 US Latina US Latina 0-1 HT 0-1 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
08.11.2023 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 1-2 HT 0-1 US Latina US Latina İTCK
25.09.2023 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 0-3 HT 0-1 US Latina US Latina İTC
22.01.2023 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 1-1 HT 1-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
18.09.2022 US Latina US Latina 2-2 HT 0-2 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME US Latina
0-1
AWAY SSC Giugliano
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
14 Corners 0
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH US Latina vs SSC Giugliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SSC Giugliano edged past US Latina 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was US Latina at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, US Latina had 58% of the ball to SSC Giugliano's 42%, shots finished 22-13.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, US Latina had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for US Latina and 1.00 for SSC Giugliano.

What was the final score of US Latina vs SSC Giugliano?

US Latina 0-1 SSC Giugliano in the Italy - Serie C on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Latina vs SSC Giugliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a US Latina win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split US Latina 42%, draw 24%, SSC Giugliano 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (US Latina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (US Latina) ✓ Under 2.5
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