Casertana 1-3 Catania — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.45
Over 2.5
32%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.14
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
13%
5.93
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
23%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.8pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.8pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.0pp
68%
Under 2.5
65%
+2.4pp
32%
Over 2.5
35%
-2.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.8pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casertana EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Catania EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -19%
1.01/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.24
-9% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -14%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
232 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casertana
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Catania
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2024 Catania Catania 0-0 HT 0-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
01.10.2023 Casertana Casertana 0-4 HT 0-2 Catania Catania İTC
25.04.2021 Catania Catania 3-0 HT 2-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
10.01.2021 Casertana Casertana 3-2 HT 1-1 Catania Catania İTC
24.11.2019 Catania Catania 1-1 HT 0-1 Casertana Casertana İTC
19.10.2015 Casertana Casertana 2-0 HT 2-0 Catania Catania İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casertana
1-3
AWAY Catania
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Casertana vs Catania
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catania got the better of Casertana 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 38% — and on the day Catania made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Casertana had 59% of the ball to Catania's 41%, shots finished 8-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Casertana and 1.67 for Catania.

What was the final score of Casertana vs Catania?

Casertana 1-3 Catania in the Italy - Serie C on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casertana vs Catania?

Before kick-off our model rated an Catania win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Casertana 33%, draw 30%, Catania 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Catania) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Catania) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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