Catania 0-0 Casertana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.64
Over 2.5
51%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.59
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
4.42
6+ Goals
12%
23.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
57%
-8.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
43%
+8.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.6pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catania EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Casertana EU Bookmakers 27%
+9% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +15%
1.75/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.18
+19% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catania
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Casertana
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 Casertana Casertana 0-4 HT 0-2 Catania Catania İTC
25.04.2021 Catania Catania 3-0 HT 2-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
10.01.2021 Casertana Casertana 3-2 HT 1-1 Catania Catania İTC
24.11.2019 Catania Catania 1-1 HT 0-1 Casertana Casertana İTC
19.10.2015 Casertana Casertana 2-0 HT 2-0 Catania Catania İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catania
0-0
AWAY Casertana
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Catania vs Casertana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catania and Casertana fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Catania at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Catania had 55% of the ball to Casertana's 45%, shots finished 18-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Catania and 1.20 for Casertana.

What was the final score of Catania vs Casertana?

Catania 0-0 Casertana in the Italy - Serie C on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catania vs Casertana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Catania win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Catania 42%, draw 26%, Casertana 32%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Catania) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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