Brindisi 1-2 US Latina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
35%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.54
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
4.53
6+ Goals
6%
24.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.54 — our 34% vs market 32.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.5pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.4pp
34%
Away Win
45%
-10.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+5.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-5.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brindisi EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY US Latina EU Bookmakers 49%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.60/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.16/1.68
-42% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -44%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
259 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brindisi
1W-0D-0L
AWAY US Latina
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2023 US Latina US Latina 1-3 HT 1-3 Brindisi Brindisi İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brindisi
1-2
AWAY US Latina
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brindisi vs US Latina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

US Latina squeezed past Brindisi 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 33% / 34% — and on the day US Latina made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brindisi had 48% of the ball to US Latina's 52%, shots finished 13-15.

What was the final score of Brindisi vs US Latina?

Brindisi 1-2 US Latina in the Italy - Serie C on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brindisi vs US Latina?

Before kick-off our model rated an US Latina win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Brindisi 32%, draw 33%, US Latina 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (US Latina) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (US Latina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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