SS Monopoli 1-3 Juve Stabia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
52%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
4.91
6+ Goals
7%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
24%
+1.7pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.6pp
52%
Away Win
48%
+3.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.1pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SS Monopoli EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Juve Stabia EU Bookmakers 52%
-9% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.02/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.99
-2% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SS Monopoli
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Juve Stabia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2023 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 1-0 HT 0-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
23.01.2023 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 1-0 HT 0-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTC
18.09.2022 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 2-0 HT 2-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
26.02.2022 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 0-1 HT 0-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
20.10.2021 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 1-0 HT 1-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTC
23.01.2021 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 4-2 HT 1-2 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SS Monopoli
1-3
AWAY Juve Stabia
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SS Monopoli vs Juve Stabia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juve Stabia saw off SS Monopoli 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Juve Stabia as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SS Monopoli had 47% of the ball to Juve Stabia's 53%, shots finished 7-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SS Monopoli had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for SS Monopoli and 0.83 for Juve Stabia.

What was the final score of SS Monopoli vs Juve Stabia?

SS Monopoli 1-3 Juve Stabia in the Italy - Serie C on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SS Monopoli vs Juve Stabia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Juve Stabia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split SS Monopoli 25%, draw 23%, Juve Stabia 52%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juve Stabia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Juve Stabia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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