Pineto 1-2 Gubbio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.08
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
16%
6.15
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.8pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.8pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.4pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pineto EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Gubbio EU Bookmakers 39%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
1.34/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.92
+15% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pineto
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Gubbio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
07.01.2024 Pineto Pineto 1-2 HT 1-2 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
01.09.2023 Gubbio Gubbio 1-1 HT 0-0 Pineto Pineto İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pineto
1-2
AWAY Gubbio
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Pineto vs Gubbio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gubbio squeezed past Pineto 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Gubbio found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pineto had 51% of the ball to Gubbio's 49%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gubbio led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pineto and 1.50 for Gubbio.

What was the final score of Pineto vs Gubbio?

Pineto 1-2 Gubbio in the Italy - Serie C on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pineto vs Gubbio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gubbio win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Pineto 33%, draw 29%, Gubbio 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gubbio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gubbio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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