Pineto 1-2 Gubbio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Jan 2024

Pineto
1-2 HT 1-2
Gubbio
📅07/01/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2023/2024

Pineto vs Gubbio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.05
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
5.7
6+ Goals
7%
40.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+4.0pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.5pp
32%
Away Win
32%
+0.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-7.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+7.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.1pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pineto v Gubbio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pineto EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Gubbio EU Bookmakers 34%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +14%
1.98/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.09
+72% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
335 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.0

Pineto vs Gubbio Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pineto
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Gubbio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
01.09.2023 Gubbio Gubbio 1-1 HT 0-0 Pineto Pineto İTC
POST-MATCH Pineto vs Gubbio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gubbio edged past Pineto 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Pineto at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Pineto vs Gubbio?

Pineto 1-2 Gubbio in the Italy - Serie C on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pineto vs Gubbio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pineto win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pineto 42%, draw 26%, Gubbio 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pineto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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