Atletico Aldosivi 3-1 Independiente Rivadavia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.19
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
5.3
6+ Goals
10%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.72
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.55
X/1
18%
4.28
X/2
12%
8.05
X/X
15%
3.67
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
9%
7.16
2/X
7%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.8pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Aldosivi EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.88/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.86
+0% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +67%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 71%
33.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
26.6 Crosses 14.7
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Aldosivi
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.72 xG 1.36
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
351 Passes 222
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
23.04.2025 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi ARJ
17.06.2023 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 2-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi ARJPBN
11.02.2023 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi 1-2 HT 0-1 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJPBN
06.04.2014 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 2-2 HT 1-1 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Aldosivi
3-1
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia
1.46 xG 1.65
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
174 Passes 250
62% Pass Accuracy 69%
30 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Aldosivi vs Independiente Rivadavia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Aldosivi beat Independiente Rivadavia 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Aldosivi as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Aldosivi had 43% of the ball to Independiente Rivadavia's 57%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.46 to 1.65.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Independiente Rivadavia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico Aldosivi and 1.75 for Independiente Rivadavia.

What was the final score of Atletico Aldosivi vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Atletico Aldosivi 3-1 Independiente Rivadavia in the Argentina - Premier League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Aldosivi vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Aldosivi win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Atletico Aldosivi 43%, draw 30%, Independiente Rivadavia 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Aldosivi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Aldosivi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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