San Lorenzo 1-0 Deportivo Riestra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
36%
2.7
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.25
Over 2.5
33%
3.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.95
No
61%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.61
2-3 Goals
34%
1.99
4-5 Goals
17%
9.73
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.08
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
17.95
X/1
19%
4.07
X/2
10%
7.7
X/X
20%
2.86
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
5%
7.78
2/X
10%
19.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.4pp
36%
Draw
34%
+2.2pp
20%
Away Win
22%
-1.8pp
67%
Under 2.5
76%
-9.3pp
33%
Over 2.5
24%
+9.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
30%
+8.7pp
61%
BTTS No
70%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.31/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.21
-10% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 73%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
23.3 Crosses 11.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Lorenzo
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Riestra
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.41 xG 0.40
74% Ball Possession 26%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
489 Passes 104
84% Pass Accuracy 52%
20 Box Touches 16
32 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 4
20.04.2025 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 0-0 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
12.05.2024 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 1-0 HT 1-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Lorenzo
1-0
AWAY Deportivo Riestra
1.24 xG 0.65
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
290 Passes 103
72% Pass Accuracy 46%
15 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Lorenzo nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Riestra 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had San Lorenzo as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, San Lorenzo had 64% of the ball to Deportivo Riestra's 36%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.24 to 0.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Deportivo Riestra led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for San Lorenzo and 0.50 for Deportivo Riestra.

What was the final score of San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra?

San Lorenzo 1-0 Deportivo Riestra in the Argentina - Premier League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Lorenzo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split San Lorenzo 45%, draw 36%, Deportivo Riestra 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Lorenzo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Lorenzo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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