Deportivo Riestra 1-0 San Lorenzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 12 May 2024

Deportivo Riestra
1-0 HT 1-0
San Lorenzo
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Deportivo Riestra vs San Lorenzo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
34%
2.77
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Over 2.5
31%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.29
No
63%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.91
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
13%
7.18
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.35
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.85
X/1
6%
5.29
X/2
11%
5.3
X/X
21%
3.08
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
15%
4.36
2/X
6%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.7pp
34%
Draw
33%
+1.3pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.3pp
69%
Under 2.5
70%
-1.0pp
31%
Over 2.5
30%
+1.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.6pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Riestra v San Lorenzo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
0.55/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.87
-56% / +98% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +13%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
267 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
15.0 Crosses 19.3
– Yellow Cards 2.7

Deportivo Riestra 1-0 San Lorenzo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Riestra
1-0
AWAY San Lorenzo
0.51 xG 0.31
25% Ball Possession 75%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 4
102 Passes 490
51% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 39
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo Riestra vs San Lorenzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Riestra edged past San Lorenzo 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 34% / 34%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Riestra found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Riestra had 25% of the ball to San Lorenzo's 75%, shots finished 8-6, expected goals 0.51 to 0.31.

What was the final score of Deportivo Riestra vs San Lorenzo?

Deportivo Riestra 1-0 San Lorenzo in the Argentina - Premier League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Riestra vs San Lorenzo?

Before kick-off our model rated an San Lorenzo win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Riestra 32%, draw 34%, San Lorenzo 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (32/34/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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