Lanus 0-2 Independiente Rivadavia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒23:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
28%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.36
6+ Goals
9%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.17
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.15
X/1
19%
3.69
X/2
10%
10.1
X/X
11%
4.45
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
12%
8.79
2/X
7%
17.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-11.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lanus EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.96/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.47
+0% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +96% / -22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
338 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 207 · 66%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
23.2 Crosses 18.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lanus
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.64 xG 0.12
72% Ball Possession 28%
23 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 2
460 Passes 124
86% Pass Accuracy 57%
43 Box Touches 5
35 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2019 Lanus Lanus 1-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lanus
0-2
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia
0.85 xG 0.69
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
406 Passes 166
84% Pass Accuracy 65%
28 Box Touches 10
37 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lanus vs Independiente Rivadavia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Rivadavia beat Lanus 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lanus at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Lanus had 65% of the ball to Independiente Rivadavia's 35%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 0.85 to 0.69.

What was the final score of Lanus vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Lanus 0-2 Independiente Rivadavia in the Argentina - Premier League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lanus vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lanus win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lanus 45%, draw 27%, Independiente Rivadavia 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lanus) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lanus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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