Atletico Tigre 0-1 Estudiantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.87
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
49%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.49
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.77
6+ Goals
10%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.94
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
8%
15.9
X/1
6%
8.09
X/2
20%
3.94
X/X
10%
4.07
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.55
2/X
10%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+0.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
49%
Away Win
50%
-1.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.5pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Tigre EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 55%
-5% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.06/2.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.48
+6% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +6%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
247 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
18.1 Crosses 18.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Tigre
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Estudiantes
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.93 xG 0.98
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
290 Passes 354
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Estudiantes Estudiantes 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
15.09.2023 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
29.01.2023 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
18.07.2022 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 2-1 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
20.04.2022 Estudiantes Estudiantes 2-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
01.03.2019 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 0-3 HT 0-1 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Tigre
0-1
AWAY Estudiantes
0.89 xG 0.54
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
454 Passes 293
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 16
34 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Tigre vs Estudiantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes nicked a narrow win over Atletico Tigre 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Estudiantes as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Atletico Tigre had 59% of the ball to Estudiantes's 41%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.89 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estudiantes led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Atletico Tigre and 1.50 for Estudiantes.

What was the final score of Atletico Tigre vs Estudiantes?

Atletico Tigre 0-1 Estudiantes in the Argentina - Premier League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Tigre vs Estudiantes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Estudiantes win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Atletico Tigre 23%, draw 28%, Estudiantes 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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