Smorgon 0-2 Vitebsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
32%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.99
No
47%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.29
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.76
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.4pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.6pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-6.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.5pp
47%
BTTS No
54%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smorgon EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitebsk EU Bookmakers 42%
+29% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
0.91/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.25
-20% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
250 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smorgon
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Vitebsk
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
15.06.2025 Vitebsk Vitebsk 2-1 HT 0-0 Smorgon Smorgon BLR
28.09.2024 Smorgon Smorgon 0-3 HT 0-1 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
10.05.2024 Vitebsk Vitebsk 0-1 HT 0-0 Smorgon Smorgon BLR
16.10.2021 Smorgon Smorgon 2-0 HT 1-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
28.05.2021 Vitebsk Vitebsk 5-0 HT 2-0 Smorgon Smorgon BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Smorgon
0-2
AWAY Vitebsk
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Smorgon vs Vitebsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitebsk beat Smorgon 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 32%) promised a tight game; Vitebsk found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Smorgon had 50% of the ball to Vitebsk's 50%, shots finished 8-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Vitebsk led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Smorgon and 2.00 for Vitebsk.

What was the final score of Smorgon vs Vitebsk?

Smorgon 0-2 Vitebsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smorgon vs Vitebsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Smorgon win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Smorgon 36%, draw 32%, Vitebsk 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Smorgon), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Smorgon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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