Holbaek 4-4 Horsholm-Usserod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
21%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
52%
+5.6pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.7pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-3.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.6pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holbaek EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Horsholm-Usserod EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
1.35/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.00
-27% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +78%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
357 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holbaek
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Horsholm-Usserod
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
06.09.2025 Horsholm-Usserod 0-4 HT 0-4 Holbaek Holbaek DAN3
POST-MATCH Holbaek vs Horsholm-Usserod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holbaek and Horsholm-Usserod couldn't be separated, finishing 4-4. Half-time: 1-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Holbaek carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Holbaek vs Horsholm-Usserod?

Holbaek 4-4 Horsholm-Usserod in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holbaek vs Horsholm-Usserod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holbaek win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Holbaek 57%, draw 21%, Horsholm-Usserod 21%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Holbaek) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Holbaek) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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