Sundby 1-0 Naesby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.46
No
37%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
33%
+4.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.3pp
63%
BTTS Yes
64%
-1.0pp
37%
BTTS No
36%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sundby EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Naesby EU Bookmakers 46%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -1%
1.45/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/0.95
-4% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +32%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sundby
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Naesby
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.09.2025 Naesby Naesby 3-1 HT 2-1 Sundby DAN3
16.11.2024 Sundby 0-3 Naesby Naesby DAN3
12.10.2024 Naesby Naesby 0-2 Sundby DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sundby
1-0
AWAY Naesby
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sundby vs Naesby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sundby edged past Naesby 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 40%) promised a tight game; Sundby found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sundby had 39% of the ball to Naesby's 61%, shots finished 9-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Naesby led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sundby and 2.00 for Naesby.

What was the final score of Sundby vs Naesby?

Sundby 1-0 Naesby in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sundby vs Naesby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Naesby win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sundby 38%, draw 23%, Naesby 40%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Naesby) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAN3 More Denmark - 3rd Division
1 Nov 2025
00:00 Odder vs FA 2000 Analysis →
15:00 Holbaek vs Horsholm-Usserod Analysis →
15:30 Lyseng vs Nykobing Analysis →
16:00 Vanlose vs Bronshoj BK Analysis →
16:00 Vejgaard BK vs Frem Analysis →