Auxerre 0-1 Marsilya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 1 Nov 2025

Auxerre
0 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Marsilya
📅01/11/2025 · 🕒23:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Auxerre vs Marsilya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.29
Draw
23%
3.64
Away Pick
58%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.87
Over
50%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.19
2-3
47%
1.77
4-5
22%
3.48
6+
5%
13.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
8.03
1/2
4%
23.55
1/X
5%
16.35
X/1
7%
9.82
X/2
20%
4.14
X/X
14%
5.09
2/1
1%
35.0
2/2
35%
2.16
2/X
4%
14.65
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Auxerre v Marsilya — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Auxerre The Market 23%
Head to Head
AWAY Marsilya The Market 59%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.07 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.10
1.64 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.85
Average Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Strong
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
253 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 81%
18 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2

Auxerre vs Marsilya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auxerre
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Marsilya
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.49 xG 1.98
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
258 Passes 533
73% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.02.2025 Auxerre Auxerre 3-0 HT 1-0 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
08.11.2024 Marsilya Marsilya 1-3 HT 0-3 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
30.04.2023 Marsilya Marsilya 2-1 HT 0-1 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
03.09.2022 Auxerre Auxerre 0-2 HT 0-1 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
10.02.2021 Auxerre Auxerre 0-2 HT 0-0 Marsilya Marsilya FRK
13.05.2012 Marsilya Marsilya 3-0 HT 1-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR1

Auxerre 0-1 Marsilya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auxerre
0 - 1
AWAY Marsilya
1.17 xG 0.52
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
386 Passes 420
86% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Auxerre vs Marsilya
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Marsilya came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Auxerre 1-0 on their travels.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Marsilya as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 50% and both teams to score at 51%.

By the numbers, Marsilya saw more of the ball, 51% to 49%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 1.17 to 0.52 — by the quality of chances, Auxerre deserved more.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marsilya led the recent series with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Auxerre against 1.67 for Marsilya.

Auxerre vs Marsilya Result & Final Score

Auxerre 0 - 1 Marsilya in the France - Ligue 1 on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Auxerre vs Marsilya Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Marsilya win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Auxerre 19%, draw 23%, Marsilya 58%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marsilya) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marsilya) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR1 More France - Ligue 1
1 Nov 2025
19:00 PSG vs Nice Analysis →
21:00 Monaco vs Paris FC Analysis →