Istra 1961 1-1 Vukovar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 1 Nov 2025

Istra 1961
1-1 HT 1-1
Vukovar
📅01/11/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Croatia - 1. HNL – 2025/2026

Istra 1961 vs Vukovar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.64
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.25
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.31
6+ Goals
10%
12.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 28% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
57%
+2.9pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.1pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+0.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Istra 1961 v Vukovar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Vukovar EU Bookmakers 22%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.53/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/1.08
+16% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +34%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
17.6 Crosses 15.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0

Istra 1961 vs Vukovar Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Istra 1961
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Vukovar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.41 xG 1.41
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
355 Passes 343
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
15.08.2025 Vukovar Vukovar 1-1 HT 1-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR

Istra 1961 1-1 Vukovar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Istra 1961
1-1
AWAY Vukovar
1.49 xG 0.70
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
365 Passes 246
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Istra 1961 vs Vukovar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Istra 1961 and Vukovar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Istra 1961 carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Istra 1961 had 56% of the ball to Vukovar's 44%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.49 to 0.70.

What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs Vukovar?

Istra 1961 1-1 Vukovar in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Istra 1961 vs Vukovar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Istra 1961 win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Istra 1961 60%, draw 21%, Vukovar 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Istra 1961) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Istra 1961) ✓ Under 2.5
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