Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 Rijeka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.57
6+ Goals
11%
14.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
58%
+1.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
18%
Away Win
18%
-0.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijeka EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +19%
1.63/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.17
+5% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +17%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
425 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
21.2 Crosses 11.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Rijeka
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.85 xG 1.38
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
318 Passes 320
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 0-2 HT 0-2 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
27.04.2025 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 HT 1-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
22.02.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 4-0 HT 3-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
23.11.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0-0 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
01.09.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 1-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
22.05.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 1-3 HT 0-2 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
2-1
AWAY Rijeka
0.57 xG 1.52
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
295 Passes 359
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Dinamo Zagreb vs Rijeka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb nicked a narrow win over Rijeka 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dinamo Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dinamo Zagreb had 46% of the ball to Rijeka's 54%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.57 to 1.52 — on chances, Rijeka could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dinamo Zagreb and 1.00 for Rijeka.

What was the final score of Dinamo Zagreb vs Rijeka?

Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 Rijeka in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Zagreb vs Rijeka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Zagreb 60%, draw 22%, Rijeka 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✓ Over 2.5
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