Rijeka 4-0 Dinamo Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.94
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.32
2-3 Goals
46%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.59
6+ Goals
7%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
30%
-4.9pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.4pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijeka EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.55/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.20
+16% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +31%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
246 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
17.2 Crosses 12.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijeka
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.98 xG 0.86
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
280 Passes 326
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 16
10 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0-0 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
01.09.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 1-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
22.05.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 1-3 HT 0-2 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIRK
15.05.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0-0 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIRK
05.05.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 1-2 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
25.02.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rijeka
4-0
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
3.31 xG 0.40
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
375 Passes 276
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rijeka vs Dinamo Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijeka cruised past Dinamo Zagreb 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Zagreb at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rijeka had 56% of the ball to Dinamo Zagreb's 44%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 3.31 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rijeka and 1.17 for Dinamo Zagreb.

What was the final score of Rijeka vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Rijeka 4-0 Dinamo Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijeka vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rijeka 25%, draw 32%, Dinamo Zagreb 43%. The final score 4-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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