Rijeka 1-3 Dinamo Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup, 22 May 2024

📅22/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.51
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.71
6+ Goals
7%
26.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.51 — our 38% vs market 33.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
27%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.9pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.9pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijeka EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 37%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.14/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/0.88
+94% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / +47%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijeka
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.02 xG 1.38
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
273 Passes 405
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.05.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0-0 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIRK
05.05.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 1-2 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
25.02.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
12.11.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 2-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
27.08.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 HT 1-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
21.05.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 1-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rijeka
1-3
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Rijeka vs Dinamo Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb saw off Rijeka 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Dinamo Zagreb made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rijeka had 58% of the ball to Dinamo Zagreb's 42%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rijeka and 1.50 for Dinamo Zagreb.

What was the final score of Rijeka vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Rijeka 1-3 Dinamo Zagreb in the Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup on 22/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijeka vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rijeka 39%, draw 27%, Dinamo Zagreb 34%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rijeka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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