Rijeka 1-2 Dinamo Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 5 May 2024

Rijeka
1-2 HT 0-0
Dinamo Zagreb
📅05/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Croatia - 1. HNL – 2023/2024

Rijeka vs Dinamo Zagreb Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.67
Over 2.5
35%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.28
6+ Goals
7%
21.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 37% vs market 30.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.9pp
34%
Draw
31%
+3.2pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-5.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.9pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rijeka v Dinamo Zagreb — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijeka EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.46/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.10
+17% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
17.2 Crosses 13.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.9

Rijeka vs Dinamo Zagreb Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijeka
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.92 xG 1.88
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
280 Passes 456
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.02.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
12.11.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 2-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
27.08.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 HT 1-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
21.05.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 1-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
19.03.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
13.11.2022 Rijeka Rijeka 2-7 HT 0-4 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR

Rijeka 1-2 Dinamo Zagreb — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rijeka
1-2
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
1.92 xG 0.22
52% Ball Possession 48%
26 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
276 Passes 249
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 7
17 Crosses 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rijeka vs Dinamo Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb edged past Rijeka 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 34% / 32%) promised a tight game; Dinamo Zagreb found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rijeka had 52% of the ball to Dinamo Zagreb's 48%, shots finished 26-3, expected goals 1.92 to 0.22 — on chances, Rijeka could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rijeka and 2.50 for Dinamo Zagreb.

What was the final score of Rijeka vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Rijeka 1-2 Dinamo Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijeka vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Rijeka 34%, draw 34%, Dinamo Zagreb 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/34/32) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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