Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hajduk Split v NK Varazdin — Team-Based Signals
Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
NK Varazdin
HIR
1-2
HT 1-1
Hajduk Split
HIR
2-0
HT 1-0
NK Varazdin
HIR
1-4
HT 0-0
Hajduk Split
HIR
Hajduk Split 0-1 NK Varazdin — Actual Match Statistics
NK Varazdin squeezed past Hajduk Split 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Hajduk Split at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Hajduk Split had 61% of the ball to NK Varazdin's 39%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 0.19 to 1.04.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hajduk Split had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Hajduk Split and 0.67 for NK Varazdin.
What was the final score of Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin?
Hajduk Split 0-1 NK Varazdin in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Hajduk Split 52%, draw 26%, NK Varazdin 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hajduk Split) went the other way.