Hajduk Split 5-0 NK Varazdin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.28
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
29%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.16
No
45%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.23
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
29%
3.01
6+ Goals
11%
9.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
74%
-24.0pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.2pp
29%
Away Win
9%
+19.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
42%
+12.4pp
45%
BTTS No
58%
-12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY NK Varazdin EU Bookmakers 11%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.98/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/5.00
-25% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -48%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
415 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hajduk Split
5W-1D-0L
AWAY NK Varazdin
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.74 xG 0.72
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
316 Passes 286
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1-1 HT 1-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
12.11.2023 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 3-1 HT 2-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
26.08.2023 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1-2 HT 1-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
22.04.2023 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-0 HT 1-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
11.02.2023 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1-4 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
08.10.2022 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-1 HT 1-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hajduk Split
5-0
AWAY NK Varazdin
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hajduk Split swept aside NK Varazdin 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hajduk Split as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Hajduk Split had 50% of the ball to NK Varazdin's 50%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hajduk Split had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Hajduk Split and 0.83 for NK Varazdin.

What was the final score of Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin?

Hajduk Split 5-0 NK Varazdin in the Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hajduk Split 50%, draw 21%, NK Varazdin 29%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hajduk Split), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hajduk Split) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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