Hajduk Split 4-0 Osijek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-9.5pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.7pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.3pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Osijek EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.39/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.51
-13% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
394 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.8
20.9 Crosses 14.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hajduk Split
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Osijek
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.38 xG 0.88
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
312 Passes 264
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2024 Osijek Osijek 2-2 HT 1-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
31.08.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-0 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
14.04.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-2 HT 1-2 Osijek Osijek HIR
03.02.2024 Osijek Osijek 1-1 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
08.11.2023 Osijek Osijek 0-1 HT 0-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
22.10.2023 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 0-2 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hajduk Split
4-0
AWAY Osijek
1.59 xG 0.90
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
293 Passes 330
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 15
11 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hajduk Split vs Osijek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hajduk Split swept aside Osijek 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hajduk Split as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Hajduk Split had 49% of the ball to Osijek's 51%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.59 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hajduk Split and 1.17 for Osijek.

What was the final score of Hajduk Split vs Osijek?

Hajduk Split 4-0 Osijek in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hajduk Split vs Osijek?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hajduk Split 49%, draw 29%, Osijek 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hajduk Split), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hajduk Split) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HIR More Croatia - 1. HNL
22 Feb 2025
19:45 Rijeka vs Dinamo Zagreb Analysis →