Osijek 2-2 Hajduk Split — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.89
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
4.14
6+ Goals
7%
19.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 35% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-4.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.3pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osijek EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 43%
+14% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +15%
1.00/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.93
-1% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
19.2 Crosses 16.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osijek
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hajduk Split
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.88 xG 1.36
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
275 Passes 315
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-0 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
14.04.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-2 HT 1-2 Osijek Osijek HIR
03.02.2024 Osijek Osijek 1-1 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
08.11.2023 Osijek Osijek 0-1 HT 0-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
22.10.2023 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 0-2 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
13.05.2023 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 3-0 HT 1-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osijek
2-2
AWAY Hajduk Split
2.14 xG 2.28
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
253 Passes 326
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Osijek vs Hajduk Split
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osijek and Hajduk Split shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Osijek had 45% of the ball to Hajduk Split's 55%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 2.14 to 2.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hajduk Split led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Osijek and 1.17 for Hajduk Split.

What was the final score of Osijek vs Hajduk Split?

Osijek 2-2 Hajduk Split in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osijek vs Hajduk Split?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osijek win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Osijek 36%, draw 29%, Hajduk Split 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Osijek) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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