Sibenik 1-0 HNK Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 24 Nov 2024

Sibenik
1-0 HT 1-0
HNK Gorica
📅24/11/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Croatia - 1. HNL – 2024/2025

Sibenik vs HNK Gorica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.64
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
4.57
6+ Goals
8%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
21%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.0pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.8pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sibenik v HNK Gorica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sibenik EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Gorica EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
0.94/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.11
-31% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 71%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
18.5 Crosses 16.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Sibenik vs HNK Gorica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sibenik
2W-2D-2L
AWAY HNK Gorica
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.37 xG 1.03
55% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
339 Passes 255
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
30.08.2024 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 2-1 HT 1-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
14.04.2023 Sibenik Sibenik 0-4 HT 0-4 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
05.02.2023 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 0-3 HT 0-1 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
09.11.2022 Sibenik Sibenik 2-0 HT 0-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIRK
02.10.2022 Sibenik Sibenik 1-1 HT 0-1 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
23.07.2022 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 0-0 HT 0-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR

Sibenik 1-0 HNK Gorica — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sibenik
1-0
AWAY HNK Gorica
1.16 xG 0.68
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
234 Passes 324
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 13
8 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sibenik vs HNK Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sibenik edged past HNK Gorica 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 33% / 29%) promised a tight game; Sibenik found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sibenik had 43% of the ball to HNK Gorica's 57%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.16 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sibenik and 1.17 for HNK Gorica.

What was the final score of Sibenik vs HNK Gorica?

Sibenik 1-0 HNK Gorica in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sibenik vs HNK Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sibenik win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sibenik 38%, draw 33%, HNK Gorica 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sibenik), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sibenik) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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