Rijeka 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
37%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.1
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.77
6+ Goals
12%
16.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 29% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
23%
+13.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
37%
Away Win
52%
-15.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.3pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijeka EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 56%
-11% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.45/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.91
+41% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
283 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 76%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.2
18.0 Crosses 18.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijeka
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.04 xG 1.45
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
266 Passes 367
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.05.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 1-3 HT 0-2 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIRK
15.05.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0-0 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIRK
05.05.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 1-2 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
25.02.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
12.11.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 2-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
27.08.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 HT 1-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rijeka
1-1
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
0.45 xG 0.80
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
296 Passes 346
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 14
9 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rijeka vs Dinamo Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijeka and Dinamo Zagreb couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Rijeka had 46% of the ball to Dinamo Zagreb's 54%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 0.45 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rijeka and 1.67 for Dinamo Zagreb.

What was the final score of Rijeka vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Rijeka 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijeka vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Rijeka 36%, draw 27%, Dinamo Zagreb 37%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✗ BTTS No
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