Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Varazdin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lokomotiva Zagreb v NK Varazdin — Team-Based Signals
Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Varazdin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Lokomotiva Zagreb
HIR
3-3
HT 0-2
NK Varazdin
HIR
0-0
HT 0-0
Lokomotiva Zagreb
HIR
1-1
HT 1-0
NK Varazdin
HIR
Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-1 NK Varazdin — Actual Match Statistics
NK Varazdin nicked a narrow win over Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Lokomotiva Zagreb at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Lokomotiva Zagreb had 55% of the ball to NK Varazdin's 45%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 0.29 to 2.71 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold NK Varazdin's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiva Zagreb had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lokomotiva Zagreb and 0.67 for NK Varazdin.
What was the final score of Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Varazdin?
Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-1 NK Varazdin in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Varazdin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiva Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiva Zagreb 43%, draw 28%, NK Varazdin 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb) went the other way.