Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 Rijeka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.67
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
4.04
6+ Goals
8%
19.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-9.9pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.6pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.4pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijeka EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.31/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.32
+4% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
391 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 78%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
20.1 Crosses 11.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Rijeka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.48 xG 1.71
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
300 Passes 314
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 4-0 HT 3-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
23.11.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0-0 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
01.09.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 1-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
22.05.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 1-3 HT 0-2 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIRK
15.05.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0-0 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIRK
05.05.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 1-2 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
1-0
AWAY Rijeka
1.26 xG 0.32
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
343 Passes 285
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dinamo Zagreb vs Rijeka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb squeezed past Rijeka 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dinamo Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Dinamo Zagreb had 54% of the ball to Rijeka's 46%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.26 to 0.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dinamo Zagreb and 1.17 for Rijeka.

What was the final score of Dinamo Zagreb vs Rijeka?

Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 Rijeka in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Zagreb vs Rijeka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Zagreb 47%, draw 29%, Rijeka 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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