Rijeka 0-2 Dinamo Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.04
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
46%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.55
2-3 Goals
39%
1.69
4-5 Goals
19%
4.03
6+ Goals
8%
19.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.55 — our 34% vs market 31.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+4.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
47%
Away Win
51%
-4.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijeka EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 55%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -13%
1.56/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.79
+53% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.7
14.5 Crosses 21.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijeka
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.30 xG 0.74
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
316 Passes 324
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 HT 1-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
22.02.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 4-0 HT 3-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
23.11.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0-0 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
01.09.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 1-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
22.05.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 1-3 HT 0-2 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIRK
15.05.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0-0 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rijeka
0-2
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
1.70 xG 1.32
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
336 Passes 295
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rijeka vs Dinamo Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb got the better of Rijeka 2-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dinamo Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Rijeka had 54% of the ball to Dinamo Zagreb's 46%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.70 to 1.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rijeka and 0.83 for Dinamo Zagreb.

What was the final score of Rijeka vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Rijeka 0-2 Dinamo Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijeka vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Rijeka 26%, draw 28%, Dinamo Zagreb 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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