Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lokomotiva Zagreb v HNK Gorica — Team-Based Signals
Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-3 HNK Gorica — Actual Match Statistics
HNK Gorica got the better of Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Lokomotiva Zagreb at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Lokomotiva Zagreb had 49% of the ball to HNK Gorica's 51%, shots finished 5-12, expected goals 1.21 to 0.68 — the balance of chances actually favoured Lokomotiva Zagreb.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiva Zagreb had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Lokomotiva Zagreb and 0.67 for HNK Gorica.
What was the final score of Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?
Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-3 HNK Gorica in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiva Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiva Zagreb 50%, draw 25%, HNK Gorica 26%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb), Under 2.5 went the other way.